PATNA: The AIADMK of Jayalalitha and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) of Sharad Pawar hold key to the victory of the President in case the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by the BJP and the Opposition led by the Congress force elections, according to a rough estimate of votes in the electoral college consisting of the Lok Sabha, Rajya Sabha and state assembly members throughout the country.
Former Speaker of the Bihar assembly Radhanandan Jha, who has expertise in analysing voting patterns in the electoral college for the presidential elections, said the NDA’s vote values in the electoral college had definite edge over the Opposition led by the Congress.
As per calculation of vote values in the electoral college throughout the country, the NDA has support of 5,26,714 votes, while the Opposition led by the Congress has support of 5,04,225 votes.
The value of votes of each member of Parliament is 708, while vote values of the members of state assemblies differ from state to state because of population and number of seats in respective state assemblies. The value of votes of each MLA in UP and Bihar is higher in comparison to smaller states in the country, Jha said.
Eminent constitutional expert Basudeva Prasad, said that the electoral college of the presidential election, is sharply divided over the presidential choice. “But there must be a consensus.�
Jha said that among the ruling constituents, the BJP and allies had values of votes to the tune of 2,60,696, TDP-1,56,701, TMP-73,202 and BSP-36,117, totalling 5,26,716 votes. On the other hand, in the Opposition led by the Congress, the total vote value of votes is 5,04,225, with Congress 2,69,784, Left parties 85,563, Samajwadi Party 55,135, Rashtriya Janata Dal 33,033, others 35,027 and independents 25,683.
While the AIADMK has vote value of 44,880, NCP has vote value of 17,246. “If both these parties, which continue to be indecisive, side with the Opposition then the opposition-sponsored candidate could win as in that case, the number of the opposition votes will go up to 5,67,251,� Jha said.